Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.531121 1.600478 1.671664 1.750317 1.834936 1.923397 2.023079
2026-01-04 1.388172 1.486052 1.590383 1.710373 1.845200 1.992771 2.167542
2026-01-11 1.304516 1.423803 1.554967 1.711014 1.893110 2.100786 2.358346
2026-01-18 1.247274 1.383774 1.537902 1.726777 1.954760 2.224789 2.574659
2026-01-25 1.184737 1.331621 1.501049 1.713767 1.977894 2.301033 2.736179
2026-02-01 1.123014 1.275575 1.454630 1.683973 1.975592 2.342409 2.853405
2026-02-08 1.055895 1.208902 1.390863 1.627547 1.934135 2.328381 2.892896
2026-02-15 1.010709 1.166268 1.353699 1.601289 1.928098 2.358002 2.991603
2026-02-22 0.978290 1.137503 1.331807 1.592424 1.942978 2.414892 3.131553
2026-03-01 0.943027 1.103451 1.301329 1.570166 1.937619 2.442235 3.228993
2026-03-08 0.894651 1.050996 1.245138 1.511049 1.878241 2.389025 3.199246
2026-03-15 0.872049 1.030441 1.229082 1.504466 1.890635 2.438409 3.330701
2026-03-22 0.855964 1.019335 1.226955 1.519537 1.938551 2.549270 3.582350
2026-03-29 0.825865 0.989178 1.198784 1.497819 1.932991 2.580711 3.709557
2026-04-05 0.808041 0.974449 1.190548 1.503424 1.967670 2.676753 3.959838
2026-04-12 0.794976 0.965417 1.189442 1.518811 2.017642 2.800965 4.278247
2026-04-19 0.774130 0.945115 1.171938 1.509391 2.028702 2.862318 4.488219
2026-04-26 0.749758 0.919180 1.145566 1.485538 2.015451 2.881360 4.617804
2026-05-03 0.719399 0.884185 1.105346 1.439373 1.964113 2.831068 4.600209
2026-05-10 0.698778 0.861932 1.082284 1.417829 1.950956 2.846035 4.720323
2026-05-17 0.683896 0.847108 1.069161 1.410565 1.960316 2.901220 4.934436
2026-05-24 0.666343 0.828064 1.049357 1.392179 1.950117 2.919883 5.070090
2026-05-31 0.640153 0.796370 1.010536 1.343147 1.886378 2.835454 4.958132